Trump Chances Of Winning 2024 Election. Five thirty eight has trump moving to a 51 per cent chance of victory, nate silver gives trump a 53 per cent chance, and the economist has trump at 54 per cent. Donald trump's 2024 election victory is fueling claims of fraud on both sides of the political divide.

Rival kamala harris’s chances of making history. According to pollster nate silver ‘s forecast, vice president kamala harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the electoral college to former president donald trump ‘s.